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Tag Archive for 'thunderstorms'

Very Wet Day Expected, Cold Change On The Way

The forecast area is in store for a very wet Saturday.  The second disturbance associated with this large long wave trough is currently moving through the forecast area with moderate to heavy rain from eastern North Carolina to the Hudson Valley.  This rainfall is not making much progression to the east and rain will continue [...]

Foggy Start Will Lead To Very Warm Conditions This Afternoon, Changes On The Way

As you can see with the title, there is a lot of topics to cover over as we look at the next three days.
Dense fog will slowly burn off through the morning, but visibility will likely remain below a mile in many locations through at least mid morning.  The fog is certainly an indication of [...]

Evening Thoughts

There’s a lot of topics I want to cover tonight so lets dive into it!
First and foremost, the heaviest rainfall from this afternoon’s coastal low is now off the coast and I only expect a few light showers and some drizzle for the rest of the overnight period.  There is plenty of deep moisture still [...]

Volatile Weather Through Saturday Expected

Get ready for some rapidly changing weather conditions through Saturday night as a series of disturbances and a very strong cold front moves through the forecast area.
Today through tonight, a disturbance from the southern branch will race ahead of the main trough in a very moist atmospheric environment.  The GFS and the NAM are having [...]

Sunshine Today, Rain Through Saturday

High pressure will hold on for one more day before giving way to the significant moisture surge developing over the Mississippi Valley and Southeast.  Clouds will slowly increase through the day, initially with high level stratus and some cirrus to eventually mid to low level stratus by this evening.  As the high pressure system moves [...]

Showers And Then A Few Nice Days

The cold front is currently moving through the forecast area right now with scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms.  The cold front is moving slightly faster than guidance suggested, however the threat for showers and thunderstorms should remain until the afternoon hours.
High pressure will build into the forecast area from the Great Lakes and [...]

Coastal Low Slowly Exits, Strong Cold On The Way

The coastal low off the Mid Atlantic coast apparently likes the area, as the low pressure system continues to sit over the forecast area.  As a result, clouds and a weakening northeasterly wind will persist through the afternoon hours.  Regardless, temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 60’s throughout the forecast area, which will [...]

Upper Low Weakens And A Very Warm Friday Is Expected

This period will see a rather extreme swing in weather conditions over the next 66 hours.
The upper low and coastal low that brought have rainfall to the forecast area overnight is beginning to weaken and lift to the north and east.  With significantly moist air trapped below 850 MB, a cloudy day can be expected. [...]

Major Changes On The Way

Get ready to say good bye to the ridge in the East or at least the sustained ridge in the East. 
A strong cold front supported by a strengthening upper level low and deepening trough will drive through the forecast area on Saturday afternoon.  There is a significant potential for strong to severe thunderstorms with this [...]

Pattern Change Will Unfold This Weekend

An important change in the pattern will begin to unfold this weekend.  I’m envisioning the switch to cold for the second half of November will be in a “step down” phase starting next weekend.  
The upper level pattern will shift to a predominant trough into the eastern United States.  A strong cold front will move [...]