NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Enjoyable conditions coming to a rainy end

7:51 AM
High pressure is currently to the east of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area producing light and variable winds and relatively warm temperatures.  Comfortable conditions are expect through tomorrow afternoon with highs pushing well into the 50’s for most locations for highs with the exception of the immediate coast where temperatures will [...]

Significant heavy rain threat expected this weekend

4:30 PM
A significant rainfall event is expected to begin late on Thursday and is expected to continue through early next week.  All model guidance is coming into strong agreement on the development of a long duration rain event for all of the northern Mid Atlantic.
A strong upper low currently over the central Plains will slowly [...]

Early spring like conditions continue but rain is on the way

7:04 AM
High pressure is completely in control this morning with clear skies and temperatures on their way into the 50’s for most locations.  After the rough winter weather of the past several weeks, today is going to feel like paradise with warm conditions and light winds.
High pressure will remain in control through the next several [...]

Significant long duration winter storm expected starting tonight

8:40 AM
A major winter storm is starting to develop over the Gulf Coast that will have a lasting impact on the entire northern Mid Atlantic tonight through Friday evening.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows two disturbances beginning to interact over the Tennessee Valley.  By this afternoon, these disturbances will form a powerful upper [...]

Brief 12Z NAM Thoughts

10:08 AM
The latest 12Z NAM is out and boy does it deliver a heck of a snow storm!
The basic idea of the 12Z NAM is to take the 500 MB low over the Tennessee Valley and basically park that upper low over the central New Jersey coastal waters and over Long Island on Thursday [...]

Light snow likely with first impulse

9:26 PM
This evening, the movement of high pressure into the Atlantic highlights an environment not favorable for a significant snowfall over the northern Mid Atlantic.  Temperatures, although cold, are still hovering around freezing along the coast.  As the surface high pressure system slides to the east, winds will back to the south leading to a [...]

Very windy today as temperatures struggle to rise

7:15 AM

A strong secondary cold front has moved through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this morning, driven by the rapidly deepening area of low pressure to the east of northern Maine.  This low pressure system in combination with a high pressure system over the Mid West is producing an impressive pressure [...]

Premium Content Preview: The players on the field

9:25 PM
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This evening, I want to focus on the developing storm or storms depending on the guidance that is expected to impact the northern Mid Atlantic and much of the Northeast from Thursday afternoon through Saturday.
The water vapor satellite this evening shows a strong disturbance over the New England [...]

Premium Content Preview: Don’t let your guard down

This is a preview of the premium discussions that will be available with premium membership.
7:50 AM
The storm for New Years Eve through Saturday has me concerned for a much larger impact for the northern Mid Atlantic than the majority of the guidance suggest.  The issue I have with the model guidance handling of these various [...]

Pattern changes and turkey dinners

7:45 AM
A weak yet pesky low pressure system continues to move away from the New Jersey coast this morning, however the persistent northeast to easterly winds associated with the low is keeping overcast skies and damp conditions over much of the northern Mid Atlantic.
Scattered showers continue to move through much of eastern Pennsylvania and New [...]