Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
6:55 AM
Minor development of a disturbance has eyes drawn to the Gulf of Mexico this morning. While much of the Atlantic remains dominated by strong west and southwesterly shear due to a deep trough over the western Atlantic, a minor disturbance is showing some signs of organization in the western Gulf of Mexico.
The disturbance [...]
6:51 AM
No tropical development has been observed this morning and none is likely for at least the next 48 hours. Strong shear associated with a deep trough over the central Caribbean and over the western Atlantic is inhibiting any form of development from the Caribbean to the African coast and will likely continue to do [...]
9:29 AM
Once again, no tropical activity is expected over the next 48 hours due to strong wind shear from the central Caribbean Sea through the African coast. Dry air will also suppress any development over the Gulf of Mexico.
6:45 Am
Once again, the Tropical Atlantic remains quiet as El Nino conditions are already dominating much of the Atlantic. Strong westerly to southwesterly shear remain over the Caribbean to the coast of Africa, which is inhibiting any disturbance from developing. Meanwhile, dry air via high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico is producing clear skies. [...]
6:44 AM
The Tropical Atlantic remains quiet this morning with no sign of development in any location. Strong southwesterly to westerly shear dominates the central Caribbean to the African coast, which will continue to inhibit any type of potential development through the weekend. As for the Gulf of Mexico, dry air behind a cold front has [...]
8:15 AM
The one good aspect of El Nino this summer is that development of tropical systems continues to be inhibited by strong westerly shear and a lack of any organized disturbances. Strong westerly and southwesterly shear dominates the central and wester Caribbean and over the western Tropical Atlantic. The combination of a trough over northern [...]
7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]
6:52 AM
The westerly wind shear that has dominated much of the Tropical Atlantic this month has weakened to the point this morning where many locations are not under the influence of this inhibiting factor. However, the lack of disturbances off the African coast and little to no potential disturbances elsewhere continues to keep the Tropical [...]
7:32 AM
This morning over the Tropical Atlantic, a strong upper low northeast of the Leeward Islands is producing strong southwesterly shear from the eastern Caribbean through the central tropical Atlantic. This shear is and will continue to inhibit any type of development for the next 48 hours.
However, wind shear has weakened considerably over the [...]
7:21 AM
There is little change in the overall upper level environment through out the Tropical Atlantic as strong shear continues to dominate. As a result, no significant development has been observed and none is expected over the next 48 hours. A weak disturbance along an old cold front boundary over the western Caribbean will need [...]
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