Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
8:07 AM
Premium Post
The pattern for February has certainly delivered as advertised, producing near record if not surpassing record snowfalls throughout the region. However, like any other pattern, this pattern will come to an end and the clues to the pattern ending are already showing up.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 26°F;Humidity: 11%;Heat Index: 26°F;Wind Chill: 12°F;Pressure: [...]
10:50 AM
Premium Post
This morning I discussed my concern for convective snowfall along the New Jersey coast in the public post. I wanted to give more details on this threat this morning.
This morning I took a look at the latest sounding from OKX, which is on Long Island. Granted, the sounding is still a bit of [...]
7:50 AM
Premium Post
Stratospheric temperatures continue to rise steadily this morning with much of the atmospheric layer from 1 MB to 70 MB now averaging above normal. The warming at 1 M is starting to slow some as the temperatures approach record highs, however model guidance from the ECMWF suggest another period of warming is on [...]
9:45 AM
Over the past several weeks I have been strongly hinting at a cold start to December. The various indicators I’ve been looking at to make these statements include the Stratospheric anomalies of late, the development of the MJO state, and the growth of snow cover over much of Alaska and northwestern Canada.
As the models [...]
7:56 AM
A major change in the pattern is about to take hold if stratospheric considerations are added into the equation.
Over the past several weeks, the Pacific been in a constant shift back and forth between an upper low over the Gulf of Alaska and an upper low over the Aleutian Islands. As a result, much [...]
9:12 PM
The winter pattern is still lingering in the northern branch of the Polar jet stream as we continue to see the continuation of a back and forth game between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Eastern Pacific Oscillation. As the negative NAO begins to collapse once again early this coming week, the negative EPO [...]
7:18 AM
I’ve gotten a lot of emails the past 24 hours if this is it? Is this the big storm and then winter is over? Well, let’s look at all the data. I know many people like to focus on the Pacific and only the Pacific, but I like to take a more round about [...]
7:40 PM
December has come and gone along with all the holiday cheer, it’s time to look to see what the rest of January holds for the forecast area. Will the negative NAO be a major factor? Will the Pacific get back into the game or will January be a warm and boring month?
The basic idea [...]
No, I’m not talking about politics. Please! I’ve had enough.
The pattern is about to go through a significant and lasting change that I think will begin to lock in for much of the winter. I am going to go back to what was discussed in my winter forecast and start where I think everything will [...]
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