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Tag Archive for 'united states'

The 1% chance gains support

9:41 AM
As discussed yesterday, the majority of the model guidance and ensemble guidance came into strong support for keeping at that time Tropical Storm Ida, separate from the trough over the eastern United States and left to wander the Gulf of Mexico and eventually die off due to consistent up welling in the Gulf of [...]

Evening Thoughts

10:14 PM
First I want to let everyone know that the monthly news letter has been issued.  Any members that didn’t get the news letter, please let me know.  I am still ironing out how to get everyone the letters at the same time.
Today was a relatively quiet day for the region as high pressure built [...]

Bill becomes this season’s first hurricane

7:15 AM
Hurricane Bill has formed over the central Atlantic this morning.  Hurricane Bill has 75 mph sustained winds and is moving west northwest at 22 mph.  Hurricane Bill will continue to move to the west northwest this evening and will eventually veer to the northwest by Thursday.
Hurricane Bill is expected to strengthen over the next [...]

Tropical Weather Video for Saturday, August 15 2009

10:40 AM
Here is the latest NY NJ PA Weather Video discussing Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Storm Bill along with their potential impacts for the United States.
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– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 71°F;Humidity: 83%;Heat Index: 71°F;Wind Chill: 71°F;Pressure: 30.19 in.;

Thunderstorm lovers will enjoy this week

10:05 AM
If you love thunderstorms and severe weather, and yes I know who those people are, they you will love this week.  Of course, if this is the week were you wanted to spend time at the beach for vacation, you might be a bit disappointed.
This morning, the forecast area is between two upper level [...]

Is The Negative NAO Going To Pull A Cruel Joke?

There’s been a lot of discussion around the internet and, of course, hear about the potential for the up coming pattern, which we are in a period of transitioning to as I type.  
Initially, the 50/50 low that develops becomes a dominant feature in the pattern over the Eastern United States.  Clearly, the strong upper [...]

Strong 50/50 Low Brings Cold And Dry Conditions To The Forecast Area

6:59 AM
The low pressure that moves through southeastern Canada will continue to deepen into a dominant 50/50 upper low late this week through early next week.  Meanwhile the negative EPO pattern is supporting a deepening through over the California coast.  The combination of the negative NAO pattern and the negative EPO pattern will produce a [...]

Waiting On The 00Z Guidance

So far the 00Z NAM is done and at the end of the guidance, the model strongly suggest a developing upper level environment that is favorable for a storm for much of the eastern third of the United States in the late Thursday through early Saturday period.  
Of interest to me on the 00Z NAM [...]

December Thoughts

I know we aren’t done with November yet, but I wanted to build on the winter forecast.  Now I know there is a lot of talk going around on the weather boards about the models picking up on a very cold pattern for the eastern two-thirds of the United States going into December.  Even the [...]

Cold Pattern Sets Up

The cold pattern that we’ve been waiting for is beginning to set up and will be established by Sunday over much of the eastern third of the nation.  
A deep trough will be carved out over the Eastern United States through Tuesday as the northern branch of the jet stream dominates the forecast area.  Cold [...]



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