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Tag Archive for 'warm'

December Thoughts

I know we aren’t done with November yet, but I wanted to build on the winter forecast.  Now I know there is a lot of talk going around on the weather boards about the models picking up on a very cold pattern for the eastern two-thirds of the United States going into December.  Even the [...]

Weak Clippers and Cold Temperatures

So is everyone welcoming an early visit by winter?  If not, then you are not going to enjoy the forecast discussions today nor much of December.  More on that later.
Cloudy conditions are expected through much of the day as a weak clipper moves towards the Mid Atlantic coast.  The low currently (6:50 AM) is over [...]

Great Weekend Ahead, Cold Front By Monday

High pressure that will move from the Great Lakes through the forecast area this weekend will provide clear and dry conditions through Saturday and Sunday for the forecast area.  Temperatures will remain below normal at a rate of 8 to 12 degrees, so continue to expect chilly conditions.  
The idea of a rapid warm up [...]

Supportive Environment For Negative NAO Developing

The key to understanding the atmosphere is to look at all of the influences that can control upper level patterns.  As you all know, I’ve been keeping an eye on the stratosphere.  
As you can see to the left, there was a short period of warming which developed just before a phase of the negative [...]

Amid Model Flips And Phantom Storms, Cold Conditions Prevail

I’m sure that those who have been monitoring the models like a hawk have a bit of a headache as each run seems to show a different solution from model to model and run to run.  Of course, the most exciting has been the GFS, which did have a nice snow storm depicted for next [...]

Below Normal Temperatures And Snow Threat End Of The Week

If you’ve been waiting for cold air and that feel of winter in the air, this looks to be your week.  The 500 MB pattern will continue to change as the volatile nature of the Polar Jet continues.  While the trough is sustained over the East through the entire week, the ridge over the West [...]

Foggy Start Will Lead To Very Warm Conditions This Afternoon, Changes On The Way

As you can see with the title, there is a lot of topics to cover over as we look at the next three days.
Dense fog will slowly burn off through the morning, but visibility will likely remain below a mile in many locations through at least mid morning.  The fog is certainly an indication of [...]

Evening Thoughts

There’s a lot of topics I want to cover tonight so lets dive into it!
First and foremost, the heaviest rainfall from this afternoon’s coastal low is now off the coast and I only expect a few light showers and some drizzle for the rest of the overnight period.  There is plenty of deep moisture still [...]

Cold Theme For Next Week

Enjoy the warm weather today and on Friday, because by Sunday afternoon these temperatures will be a pleasant memory.  
A deep trough will be carved out over the eastern third of the nation by Sunday as a series of weak disturbances move through the forecast area.  High pressure will produce clear and dry conditions at [...]

Volatile Weather Through Saturday Expected

Get ready for some rapidly changing weather conditions through Saturday night as a series of disturbances and a very strong cold front moves through the forecast area.
Today through tonight, a disturbance from the southern branch will race ahead of the main trough in a very moist atmospheric environment.  The GFS and the NAM are having [...]