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Tag Archive for 'weather pattern'

Clouds hang on but temperatures warm

7:16 AM
Yet another coastal low is slow to leave the northern Mid Atlantic as mid and high level clouds remain over much of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area.
Atlantic moisture will continue to rotate through the region leading to broken to overcast cloud cover through tomorrow afternoon.  A series of weak disturbances will [...]

MJO and Stratosphere point to active February

7:50 AM
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Stratospheric temperatures continue to rise steadily this morning with much of the atmospheric layer from 1 MB to 70 MB now averaging above normal.  The warming at 1 M is starting to slow some as the temperatures approach record highs, however model guidance from the ECMWF suggest another period of warming is on [...]

Cold conditions continue without much relief in sight

6:54 AM
It is rather clear this morning what feature has a dominant hold on the weather pattern for much of the Northeast, Great Lakes, and Mid Atlantic as a strong surface and upper low continue to sit over the Canadian Maritimes and a negative NAO pattern locks in.
The pressure gradient over the New York City [...]

Arctic cold here to stay, snow is certainly on the way

11:30 AM
If you want to see what a developing strong negative NAO pattern looks like, take a look at this morning’s water vapor satellite image.  The upper low associated with the coastal storm off the New England coast is clearly dominating the weather pattern for the much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic.  The upper [...]

The best weather of the season continues through next week

5:25 AM
If you enjoy dry conditions, low humidity, and comfortable temperatures; then this stretch of weather conditions is perfect for you.  If you don’t, well there’s always the up coming winter.
The pattern is currently set up and will remain set up through next week to support high pressure to the north and west of the [...]

Hot and active weather pattern develops

5:15 AM
The pattern is clearly changing, but the conditions at the surface won’t be changing all that much.  The forecast area will remain in an active weather pattern through mid August at the very least and the constant influence of the negative EPO and negative NAO couplet will continue to remain active players in the [...]

Another coastal storm threatens the region

9:15 PM
Once again, the weather pattern is acting more like mid October rather than mid July as a coastal storm begins to organize off the Southeast coast.
I studied all the model guidance from 12Z and 18Z this evening and found a basic overlying theme for the next 60 hours.  The brunt of the heavy rain [...]

Another perfect beach day on the way

7:50 AM
Surface high pressure from the Great Lakes remains in control over the forecast area, providing the region with perfect outdoor and beach conditions through today.  However, the upper levels will be shifting and changing over the next 24 hours to provide a much more active pattern than what has been seen over the past [...]

Pattern change promises a return of real summer conditions

7:15 Am
Summer-like conditions will return to the forecast area and will do so in a short period of time.  That means that humid air and temperatures in the 80’s and possibly 90’s will return to the forecast area.  When the hot summer conditions return, I’m willing to bet that the conditions will feel hotter and [...]

Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere.  For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.  
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]



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