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Tag Archive for 'weather'

December Thoughts

I know we aren’t done with November yet, but I wanted to build on the winter forecast.  Now I know there is a lot of talk going around on the weather boards about the models picking up on a very cold pattern for the eastern two-thirds of the United States going into December.  Even the [...]

Record Low Temperatures Recorded

The cold air mass that is dominating the forecast area over the next few days has already broken a few records in the region.  From the National Weather Service:
…RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE TIED AT KENNEDY NY…

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 27 DEGREES WAS TIED AT KENNEDY NY AT
659 AM (LST) TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD [...]

Slow Moderation Ahead Of Another Cold Wave Expected

The end of next weekend will have some moderation, however before we get to that point, temperatures will average 8 to 12 degrees below normal for highs from Thursday through Saturday.  
Another weak disturbance will move through the forecast area on Thursday with a few isolated rain and snow showers and some reinforcing cold air. [...]

Amid Model Flips And Phantom Storms, Cold Conditions Prevail

I’m sure that those who have been monitoring the models like a hawk have a bit of a headache as each run seems to show a different solution from model to model and run to run.  Of course, the most exciting has been the GFS, which did have a nice snow storm depicted for next [...]

Cold And Stormy Pattern Developing For Next Week

Last night I discussed how it is unwise to jump to conclusions about model solutions in the extended period.  Well, last night all the model runs basically switched back to cold again with a rather chilly start to December shown along with plenty of storm potential.  
However, before we get to that interesting time period, [...]

Evening Thoughts

There’s a lot of topics I want to cover tonight so lets dive into it!
First and foremost, the heaviest rainfall from this afternoon’s coastal low is now off the coast and I only expect a few light showers and some drizzle for the rest of the overnight period.  There is plenty of deep moisture still [...]

Cold Theme For Next Week

Enjoy the warm weather today and on Friday, because by Sunday afternoon these temperatures will be a pleasant memory.  
A deep trough will be carved out over the eastern third of the nation by Sunday as a series of weak disturbances move through the forecast area.  High pressure will produce clear and dry conditions at [...]

Volatile Weather Through Saturday Expected

Get ready for some rapidly changing weather conditions through Saturday night as a series of disturbances and a very strong cold front moves through the forecast area.
Today through tonight, a disturbance from the southern branch will race ahead of the main trough in a very moist atmospheric environment.  The GFS and the NAM are having [...]

Cold Turkey On The Way

All evening I’ve been looking at a lot of long range data to see how my winter forecast is holding up.  Let me tell you, the signals are very promising for those that like cold, stormy, and snowy weather conditions.
The basic observations I have been studying with the past few patterns is interesting.  For example, [...]

Getting To Work!

There is a lot of topics to discuss this morning and a lot of work to do.  I got a list like Santa Claus here with a lot of topics to cover!  Let’s see.  There’s Hurricane Paloma that is a major category 4 hurricane.  We are going to have to discuss why this hurricane strengthened [...]