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Tag Archive for 'western alaska'

Beware of models, storm threat very real

8:00 AM
Every once in a while, well okay more than that lately, the model guidance likes to defy basic physical laws.  This morning, we have that occurring in the GFS, ECMWF, ensemble, CMC, and pretty much every guidance I am looking at.  Quick!  Get the doctor!  The models have the flu!
In all seriousness, the problem [...]

Thoughts For Next Week

While I am breaking down the current radar and satellite images, I think it is a good time to discuss the latest guidance with the set up for next week.
First and foremost, it is NOT wise to try to figure out the rain/snow line positions of any storm 4 or 5 days out.  You can [...]



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